Economy Prediction Markets

Live odds on economy, from Polymarket.

Active markets

Total volume

$103.5M

24h volume

$1.7M

Open interest

$7.7M

Closing this week

34 markets

Fed Decision in December?

Polymarket

25 bps increase80%

No change19%

+3 more outcomes

$17.6M volTrade on Polymarket →

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Polymarket

Yes10%

No91%

$17.5M volTrade on Polymarket →

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Polymarket

Yes83%

No18%

$1.7M volTrade on Polymarket →

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Polymarket

0 (0 bps)98%

2 (50 bps)<1%

+11 more outcomes

$55.7M volTrade on Polymarket →

October Inflation US - Annual

Polymarket

3.7%92%

3.8%4%

+10 more outcomes

$98.3K volTrade on Polymarket →

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Polymarket

Pause-Hike-Pause77%

Pause-Pause-Pause10%

+3 more outcomes

$186.0K volTrade on Polymarket →

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Polymarket

3.50% to 3.99%47%

4.00% to 4.49%39%

+6 more outcomes

$124.5K volTrade on Polymarket →

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Polymarket

Hike–Pause–Hike81%

Hike–Pause–Pause17%

+1 more outcomes

$645.9K volTrade on Polymarket →

Bank of England decision in December?

Polymarket

No change58%

25 bps increase42%

+3 more outcomes

$84.1K volTrade on Polymarket →

ECB Interest Rates: February 2027

Polymarket

No Change88%

25 bps increase11%

+3 more outcomes

$14.7K volTrade on Polymarket →

Bank of Mexico Decision in December?

Polymarket

No change87%

25 bps decrease13%

+3 more outcomes

$27.4K volTrade on Polymarket →

Swiss National Bank Decision in June?

Polymarket

No Change44%

25 bps increase27%

+3 more outcomes

$28.8K volTrade on Polymarket →

What will gas hit the week of November 9?

Polymarket

↓ $3.9694%

↓ $4.0090%

+10 more outcomes

$6.2K volTrade on Polymarket →

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

Polymarket

>5.0%46%

4.7-5.0%32%

+8 more outcomes

$122.8K volTrade on Polymarket →

Fed Decision in January?

Polymarket

No change79%

25 bps increase18%

+3 more outcomes

$1.3M volTrade on Polymarket →

Bank of Korea Decision in January?

Polymarket

25 bps increase56%

No Change33%

+3 more outcomes

$10.6K volTrade on Polymarket →

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

Polymarket

2.4% to 2.6%38%

2.7% to 2.9%30%

+5 more outcomes

$92.1K volTrade on Polymarket →

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

Polymarket

30M+91%

32M+83%

+6 more outcomes

$44.2K volTrade on Polymarket →

Fed rate cut by...?

Polymarket

July 2027 Meeting48%

April 2027 Meeting48%

+4 more outcomes

$3.9M volTrade on Polymarket →

US recession by end of 2026?

Polymarket

Yes4%

No96%

$2.4M volTrade on Polymarket →

Fed Decision in March?

Polymarket

No change54%

25 bps increase35%

+3 more outcomes

$132.3K volTrade on Polymarket →

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Polymarket

Below 4.55%80%

Below 4.50%49%

+8 more outcomes

$477.1K volTrade on Polymarket →

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Polymarket

No Change89%

25 bps decrease7%

+3 more outcomes

$68.6K volTrade on Polymarket →

Fed Decision in April?

Polymarket

No change65%

25 bps increase20%

+3 more outcomes

$56.8K volTrade on Polymarket →

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