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What will gas hit the week of November 9?

Polymarket$6.2K volEnds 15 Nov 2026

On Polymarket, “↓ $3.96” is currently priced highest at 94%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

Odds history

↓ $3.9694%↓ $4.0090%↓ $3.9885%
0%25%50%75%100%8 Nov, 16:009 Nov, 00:159 Nov, 08:309 Nov, 16:4510 Nov, 01:00

Current odds

↓ $3.96

94%

+18.0 pts 24h

↓ $4.00

$26 vol

90%

+0.5 pts 24h

↓ $3.98

85%

+34.5 pts 24h

↑ $4.04

$418 vol

53%

+3.0 pts 24h

↓ $3.90

$5.6K vol

53%

↑ $4.10

50%

↑ $4.08

50%

↑ $4.06

50%

↓ $3.94

50%

↓ $3.92

50%

↑ $4.14

$3 vol

27%

-17.5 pts 24h

↑ $4.12

25%

-15.5 pts 24h

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 01:00 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Economy › AAA
Scheduled deadline
15 Nov 2026

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from Monday, November 9, 2026 through Sunday, November 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified week, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “What will gas hit the week of November 9?”?

On Polymarket, “↓ $3.96” is currently priced highest at 94%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 15 Nov 2026, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from Monday, November 9, 2026 through Sunday, November 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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