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South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

Polymarket$122.8K volEnds 21 Jan 2027

>5.0% leads at 48% on Polymarket, ahead of 4.7-5.0% at 28%.

Odds history

>5.0%48%4.7-5.0%32%4.4-4.7%17%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

>5.0%

$35.5K vol

48%

-5.3 pts 24h

4.7-5.0%

$20.8K vol

28%

+2.6 pts 24h

4.4-4.7%

$33.7K vol

17%

+7.3 pts 24h

4.1-4.4%

$6.6K vol

2%

2.6-2.9%

$4.5K vol

1%

+0.1 pts 24h

2.9-3.2%

$4.4K vol

<1%

3.2-3.5%

$3.9K vol

<1%

3.5-3.8%

$3.9K vol

<1%

3.8-4.1%

$5.9K vol

<1%

<2.6%

$3.7K vol

<1%

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:50 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Economy
Scheduled deadline
21 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “South Africa Annual Inflation 2026”?

>5.0% leads at 48% on Polymarket, ahead of 4.7-5.0% at 28%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 21 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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