Computing.net

Precipitation in Seoul in November?

Polymarket$1.1K volEnds 8 Feb 2027

30-45mm leads at 39% on Polymarket, ahead of <20mm at 29%.

Odds history

30-45mm40%<20mm31%55-65mm16%
0%25%50%75%100%30 Oct2 Nov4 Nov7 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

30-45mm

$269 vol

39%

+17.0 pts 24h

<20mm

$165 vol

29%

+21.0 pts 24h

55-65mm

$143 vol

16%

20-30mm

$153 vol

15%

-17.5 pts 24h

65-85mm

$65 vol

15%

-0.5 pts 24h

85mm+

$115 vol

14%

+2.0 pts 24h

45-55mm

$147 vol

13%

-21.5 pts 24h

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Climate & Science › Science
Scheduled deadline
8 Feb 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in November, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of November at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of November 2026. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Precipitation in Seoul in November?”?

30-45mm leads at 39% on Polymarket, ahead of <20mm at 29%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 8 Feb 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in November, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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