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Precipitation in Seattle in November?

Polymarket$1.4K volEnds 8 Feb 2027

5.75-6.75" leads at 24% on Polymarket, ahead of 3-4.5" at 22%.

Odds history

5.75-6.75"24%3-4.5"25%5-5.75"22%
0%25%50%75%100%30 Oct2 Nov4 Nov7 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

5.75-6.75"

$225 vol

24%

+4.0 pts 24h

3-4.5"

$302 vol

22%

+1.0 pts 24h

5-5.75"

$279 vol

21%

+1.0 pts 24h

6.75-7.75"

$125 vol

18%

+0.5 pts 24h

>7.75"

$199 vol

16%

4.5-5"

$167 vol

15%

<3"

$105 vol

11%

-0.5 pts 24h

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Climate & Science › Science
Scheduled deadline
8 Feb 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between November 1 and November 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for November 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of November 2026. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Precipitation in Seattle in November?”?

5.75-6.75" leads at 24% on Polymarket, ahead of 3-4.5" at 22%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 8 Feb 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between November 1 and November 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for November 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

Related news

Prediction markets carry substantial risk and may be restricted where you live. Odds are market prices from Polymarket, not predictions or advice from Computing.net.