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Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?

Polymarket$3.7K volEnds 8 Feb 2027

60-95mm leads at 32% on Polymarket, ahead of 25-35mm at 26%.

Odds history

60-95mm31%25-35mm27%35-60mm35%
0%25%50%75%100%30 Oct2 Nov4 Nov7 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

60-95mm

$396 vol

32%

+2.5 pts 24h

25-35mm

$293 vol

26%

-2.5 pts 24h

35-60mm

$218 vol

19%

-21.5 pts 24h

95mm+

$422 vol

18%

+1.5 pts 24h

10-25mm

$494 vol

13%

-5.0 pts 24h

5-10mm

$1.3K vol

6%

+1.5 pts 24h

<5mm

$583 vol

2%

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Climate & Science › Science
Scheduled deadline
8 Feb 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between November 1 and November 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in November 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?”?

60-95mm leads at 32% on Polymarket, ahead of 25-35mm at 26%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 8 Feb 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between November 1 and November 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in November 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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