Computing.net

New pandemic in 2026?

Polymarket$1.3M volEnds 1 Jan 2027

Polymarket traders give this a 2% chance of happening.

Odds history

Yes2%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.3M vol

2%

Yes 2¢No 98¢

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Climate & Science › Pandemics
Scheduled deadline
1 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “New pandemic in 2026?”?

Polymarket traders give this a 2% chance of happening.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

More Climate & Science markets

Related news

Prediction markets carry substantial risk and may be restricted where you live. Odds are market prices from Polymarket, not predictions or advice from Computing.net.