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Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Polymarket$124.5K volEnds 9 Jan 2027

3.50% to 3.99% leads at 47% on Polymarket, ahead of 4.00% to 4.49% at 39%.

Odds history

3.50% to 3.99%47%4.00% to 4.49%39%5.00% to 5.49%7%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

3.50% to 3.99%

$18.4K vol

47%

-12.8 pts 24h

4.00% to 4.49%

$30.9K vol

39%

+16.0 pts 24h

5.00% to 5.49%

$4.7K vol

8%

+7.5 pts 24h

3.00% to 3.49%

$46.8K vol

6%

-3.7 pts 24h

2.50% to 2.99%

$6.4K vol

<1%

-3.0 pts 24h

4.50% to 4.99%

$6.8K vol

<1%

-1.8 pts 24h

<2.50%

$2.8K vol

<1%

5.50%+

$7.7K vol

<1%

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:50 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Economy
Scheduled deadline
9 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Mexico Annual Inflation 2026”?

3.50% to 3.99% leads at 47% on Polymarket, ahead of 4.00% to 4.49% at 39%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 9 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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