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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Polymarket$1.7M volEnds 1 Jan 2027

On Polymarket, “Dilution of Iran's Uranium” is currently priced highest at 14%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

Odds history

Dilution of Iran's Uranium14%Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)13%≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)12%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$288.5K vol

14%

+3.0 pts 24h

Yes 14¢No 87¢

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$373.5K vol

13%

+4.0 pts 24h

Yes 13¢No 88¢

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$312.1K vol

12%

+2.5 pts 24h

Yes 12¢No 89¢

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$217.6K vol

9%

-0.5 pts 24h

Yes 10¢No 92¢

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$380.5K vol

7%

-2.0 pts 24h

Yes 7¢No 94¢

Enriched Uranium Surrender

$156.9K vol

6%

-3.0 pts 24h

Yes 6¢No 95¢

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Politics › Fund
Scheduled deadline
1 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

Rules

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?”?

On Polymarket, “Dilution of Iran's Uranium” is currently priced highest at 14%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

Rules

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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