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Next French Presidential Election

Polymarket$170.7M volEnds 19 Apr 2027

Marine Le Pen leads at 45% on Polymarket, ahead of David Lisnard at 14%.

Odds history

Marine Le Pen45%David Lisnard14%Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

Marine Le Pen

$5.3M vol

45%

-0.3 pts 24h

Yes 45¢No 55¢

David Lisnard

$7.2M vol

14%

-0.9 pts 24h

Yes 14¢No 86¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3.6M vol

14%

Yes 14¢No 87¢

Édouard Philippe

$3.2M vol

10%

+1.0 pts 24h

Yes 10¢No 91¢

Christine Lagarde

$2.9M vol

6%

-1.1 pts 24h

Yes 6¢No 94¢

Teddy Riner

$297.2K vol

3%

Yes 3¢No 98¢

Raphaël Glucksmann

$3.6M vol

2%

-0.1 pts 24h

Yes 2¢No 98¢

Jordan Bardella

$3.7M vol

2%

-0.2 pts 24h

Yes 2¢No 98¢

Dominique de Villepin

$3.6M vol

2%

Yes 2¢No 98¢

François Hollande

$3.2M vol

2%

-0.2 pts 24h

Yes 2¢No 98¢

Bruno Retailleau

$3.9M vol

1%

+0.5 pts 24h

Yes 1¢No 99¢

Gabriel Attal

$3.8M vol

<1%

Yes 1¢No 100¢

Éric Zemmour

$3.6M vol

<1%

-0.1 pts 24h

Yes 0¢No 100¢

Sébastien Lecornu

$2.8M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No 100¢

François Baroin

$2.0M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No 100¢

Xavier Bertrand

$7.0M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Laurent Wauquiez

$3.7M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

François Ruffin

$4.9M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Marine Tondelier

$4.6M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Fabien Roussel

$4.3M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Olivier Faure

$6.4M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Ségolène Royal

$7.0M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

François Asselineau

$6.3M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Clémentine Autain

$5.0M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4.9M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Michel Barnier

$5.3M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Valérie Pécresse

$4.1M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

François Bayrou

$5.9M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Élisabeth Borne

$5.6M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5.9M vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:50 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Politics › French Election
Scheduled deadline
19 Apr 2027

Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Next French Presidential Election”?

Marine Le Pen leads at 45% on Polymarket, ahead of David Lisnard at 14%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 19 Apr 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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