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Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Polymarket$532.3K volEnds 1 Jan 2027

On Polymarket, “June 30, 2027” is currently priced highest at 85%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

Odds history

June 30, 202785%March 31, 202785%December 31, 202682%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

June 30, 2027

$20.0K vol

85%

+5.5 pts 24h

Yes 85¢No 16¢

March 31, 2027

$35.6K vol

84%

+6.5 pts 24h

Yes 85¢No 17¢

December 31, 2026

$306.7K vol

81%

+6.7 pts 24h

Yes 81¢No 19¢

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:40 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Politics
Scheduled deadline
1 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Pete Hegseth impeached by...?”?

On Polymarket, “June 30, 2027” is currently priced highest at 85%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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