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Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

Polymarket$67.7K volEnds 1 Jul 2027

Christopher Nolan leads at 66% on Polymarket, ahead of Denis Villeneuve at 16%.

Odds history

Christopher Nolan66%Denis Villeneuve16%Lance Oppenheim9%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

Christopher Nolan

$30.6K vol

66%

+4.0 pts 24h

Denis Villeneuve

$13.9K vol

16%

-1.0 pts 24h

Lance Oppenheim

$2.4K vol

9%

-0.8 pts 24h

Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi

$2.5K vol

9%

-1.5 pts 24h

Olivia Wilde

$1.6K vol

2%

-1.2 pts 24h

Martin McDonagh

$1.5K vol

2%

Phil Lord or Christopher Miller

$1.7K vol

1%

-1.1 pts 24h

Peter Farrelly

$1.4K vol

<1%

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

$3.2K vol

<1%

-0.7 pts 24h

Cristian Mungiu

$972 vol

<1%

-0.1 pts 24h

Steven Spielberg

$1.1K vol

<1%

-0.2 pts 24h

Jesse Eisenberg

$1.1K vol

<1%

Andrew Haigh

$392 vol

<1%

Joel Coen

$344 vol

<1%

-0.4 pts 24h

Ryusuke Hamaguchi

$959 vol

<1%

David Fincher

$814 vol

<1%

Mike Leigh

$432 vol

<1%

Aaron Sorkin

$954 vol

<1%

-0.5 pts 24h

David O. Russell

$683 vol

<1%

Bassam Tariq

$607 vol

<1%

Jordan Firstman

$688 vol

<1%

-0.1 pts 24h

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:50 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Culture › Awards
Scheduled deadline
1 Jul 2027

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner”?

Christopher Nolan leads at 66% on Polymarket, ahead of Denis Villeneuve at 16%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jul 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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Prediction markets carry substantial risk and may be restricted where you live. Odds are market prices from Polymarket, not predictions or advice from Computing.net.