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TIME Person of the Year 2026

Polymarket$315.8K volEnds 1 Jul 2027

On Polymarket, “Zohran Mamdani” is currently priced highest at 21%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

Odds history

Zohran Mamdani21%James Talarico16%Abdul El-Sayed14%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

Zohran Mamdani

$80.0K vol

21%

James Talarico

$25.5K vol

16%

+1.0 pts 24h

Abdul El-Sayed

$8.4K vol

14%

+2.5 pts 24h

Mark Carney

$19.6K vol

13%

+1.0 pts 24h

Benjamin Netanyahu

$18.7K vol

8%

-1.3 pts 24h

Pope Leo XIV

$43.9K vol

7%

-1.0 pts 24h

Lula da Silva

$3.1K vol

7%

+0.5 pts 24h

Donald Trump

$21.6K vol

6%

-0.4 pts 24h

Dario Amodei

$4.2K vol

5%

-0.5 pts 24h

Marco Rubio

$28.4K vol

4%

+0.3 pts 24h

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2.9K vol

4%

-1.0 pts 24h

Reid Wiseman

$269 vol

4%

-0.7 pts 24h

ChatGPT

$181 vol

4%

-0.1 pts 24h

Victor Glover

$232 vol

4%

Artificial Intelligence

$11.2K vol

4%

-0.1 pts 24h

Ali Khamenei

$157 vol

3%

+1.2 pts 24h

Elon Musk

$4.5K vol

3%

+0.9 pts 24h

Mojtaba Khamenei

$1.3K vol

3%

-0.5 pts 24h

Bad Bunny

$2.6K vol

3%

-2.1 pts 24h

Sam Altman

$341 vol

2%

Péter Magyar

$1.1K vol

2%

-1.2 pts 24h

Bernie Sanders

$4.1K vol

2%

-0.2 pts 24h

Jeremy Hansen

$831 vol

2%

-2.2 pts 24h

Jerome Powell

$800 vol

2%

-0.8 pts 24h

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

$11.3K vol

2%

-1.5 pts 24h

Shehbaz Sharif

$187 vol

2%

-0.2 pts 24h

Christina Koch

$1.8K vol

2%

-0.2 pts 24h

Ali G

$14.1K vol

2%

Taylor Swift

$219 vol

2%

Alysa Liu

$4.3K vol

2%

-0.4 pts 24h

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:50 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Culture
Scheduled deadline
1 Jul 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “TIME Person of the Year 2026”?

On Polymarket, “Zohran Mamdani” is currently priced highest at 21%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jul 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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