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Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Polymarket$3.3M volEnds 30 Nov 2026

Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads at 93% on Polymarket, ahead of Pedro Sánchez at 8%.

Odds history

Alberto Núñez Feijóo93%Pedro Sánchez8%Santiago Abascal1%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$746.3K vol

93%

Yes 93¢No 8¢

Pedro Sánchez

$1.0M vol

8%

+0.3 pts 24h

Yes 8¢No 93¢

Santiago Abascal

$397.7K vol

<1%

Yes 1¢No 99¢

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$322.5K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No 100¢

María Jesús Montero

$36.0K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Yolanda Díaz

$177.0K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Ernest Urtasun

$16.3K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Aitor Esteban

$14.8K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Miguel Tellado

$34.0K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Ester Muñoz

$17.4K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Pepa Millán

$16.3K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Cuca Gamarra

$16.9K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Borja Sémper

$17.3K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Carles Puigdemont

$19.9K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Carlos Cuerpo

$274.6K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Óscar Puente

$75.5K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Juanma Moreno

$10.2K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Félix Bolaños

$10.2K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Emiliano García-Page

$11.2K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Salvador Illa

$10.2K vol

<1%

Yes 0¢No

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:40 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Politics › Spain
Scheduled deadline
30 Nov 2026

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Next Prime Minister of Spain?”?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads at 93% on Polymarket, ahead of Pedro Sánchez at 8%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 30 Nov 2026, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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