Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket$170.6M volTrade on Polymarket →
Iran leadership change by...?
Polymarket$29.7M volEnds 1 Jul 2027
On Polymarket, “June 30, 2027” is currently priced highest at 22%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.
Odds history
June 30, 202722%December 318%November 303%
Current odds
Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.
Market details
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Category
- Politics
- Scheduled deadline
- 1 Jul 2027
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
FAQ
›What are the current odds for “Iran leadership change by...?”?
On Polymarket, “June 30, 2027” is currently priced highest at 22%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.
›When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jul 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.
›How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of…
›Where can I trade this market?
This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.
More Politics markets
$51.1M volTrade on Polymarket →
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket$1.32B volTrade on Polymarket →
$50.7M volTrade on Polymarket →
Related news
- Plug Power (PLUG) Rallies 21% Following Leadership Change and Gross Margin Breakthrough29 Mar 2026
- Artificial Intelligence Drives Leadership Changes at Coca-Cola and Walmart26 Mar 2026
- BioNTech (BNTX) Shares Plunge 17% Following Leadership Changes and Revenue Guidance10 Mar 2026
- Trump Dismisses Iran Peace Proposal — Oil Markets React as Hormuz Remains Restricted12 May 2026
Prediction markets carry substantial risk and may be restricted where you live. Odds are market prices from Polymarket, not predictions or advice from Computing.net.