
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
Polymarket$218.9K volEnds 1 Jan 2027
Polymarket traders give this a 41% chance of happening.
Odds history
Current odds
Last updated 9 Nov 2026 18:40 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.
Market details
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Category
- Politics › Iran
- Scheduled deadline
- 1 Jan 2027
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
FAQ
›What are the current odds for “Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?”?
Polymarket traders give this a 41% chance of happening.
›When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.
›How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or…
›Where can I trade this market?
This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.
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