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GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Polymarket$952.1K volEnds 1 Jan 2027

On Polymarket, “December 31” is currently priced highest at 99%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

Odds history

December 3199%December 1597%November 3094%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

December 31

$186.8K vol

99%

+0.5 pts 24h

December 15

$30.5K vol

97%

+2.9 pts 24h

November 30

$82.1K vol

94%

+3.3 pts 24h

November 15

$154.1K vol

69%

+11.5 pts 24h

November 13

$28.3K vol

65%

+15.5 pts 24h

November 12

$6.6K vol

57%

+14.5 pts 24h

November 11

$17.2K vol

29%

+10.0 pts 24h

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Tech & AI › AI
Scheduled deadline
1 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?”?

On Polymarket, “December 31” is currently priced highest at 99%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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