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What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Polymarket$2.7M volEnds 1 Jan 2027

On Polymarket, “↑ $4,500” is currently priced highest at 50%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

Odds history

↑ $4,50050%↑ $5,0007%↓ $3,5007%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

↑ $4,500

50%

↑ $5,000

$379.8K vol

7%

+1.4 pts 24h

↓ $3,500

$101.5K vol

7%

-2.0 pts 24h

↓ $3,000

$27.4K vol

2%

-0.4 pts 24h

↑ $6,000

$1.5M vol

2%

+0.1 pts 24h

↑ $7,000

$232.9K vol

2%

-0.1 pts 24h

↑ $10,000

$107.7K vol

1%

↑ $8,000

$81.9K vol

1%

↓ $2,500

$3.0K vol

1%

+0.3 pts 24h

↑ $15,000

$121.5K vol

1%

+0.2 pts 24h

↑ $12,000

$71.7K vol

1%

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:50 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Finance › Gold
Scheduled deadline
1 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?”?

On Polymarket, “↑ $4,500” is currently priced highest at 50%. Each outcome is a separate yes/no market.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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Prediction markets carry substantial risk and may be restricted where you live. Odds are market prices from Polymarket, not predictions or advice from Computing.net.