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Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Polymarket$83.7K volEnds 1 Apr 2027

Kira Freije leads at 31% on Polymarket, ahead of Simeon Barclay at 25%.

Odds history

Kira Freije31%Simeon Barclay25%Marguerite Humeau23%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

Kira Freije

$22.4K vol

31%

-5.5 pts 24h

Simeon Barclay

$25.1K vol

25%

+8.0 pts 24h

Marguerite Humeau

$13.7K vol

23%

-2.7 pts 24h

Tanoa Sasraku

$22.5K vol

19%

-1.0 pts 24h

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:50 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Culture › UK
Scheduled deadline
1 Apr 2027

Resolution rules

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Turner Prize 2026 Winner”?

Kira Freije leads at 31% on Polymarket, ahead of Simeon Barclay at 25%.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Apr 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple…

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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