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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Polymarket$25.1M volEnds 1 Jan 2027

Polymarket traders give this a 3% chance of happening.

Odds history

Yes3%
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct18 Oct26 Oct2 Nov10 Nov

Current odds

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$25.1M vol

3%

+0.2 pts 24h

Yes 3¢No 97¢

Last updated 10 Nov 2026 00:50 UTC. Prices in cents per share; a share pays $1 if its outcome happens.

Market details

Platform
Polymarket
Category
Crypto
Scheduled deadline
1 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Full rules on Polymarket

FAQ

›What are the current odds for “Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?”?

Polymarket traders give this a 3% chance of happening.

›When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to end on 1 Jan 2027, though the market can resolve earlier if the outcome is decided.

›How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

›Where can I trade this market?

This market trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets may not be available in every country, so check the platform's terms before trading.

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